Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

June 2006

Table 6b - Water Supply Forecast as of June 1, 2006 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for June 1 to September 30, 2006 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Reasonable Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-May 2006 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
563,000* 81 66-115 63 36/91 76** 23/91
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
710,000* 80 59-134 56 40/91 70** 30/91

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2006 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically

** Recorded 2006 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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