Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2002

Table 5b - Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2002 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Reasonable Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March 2002 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam 		774,000* 85 63-116 49 33/84 37 1/84
Red Deer River
at Red Deer 		945,000* 74 54-122 43 26/84 38 7/84

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2002 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically

Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 1995

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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