Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2003
Table 5a - Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2003 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2003 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2002 Volume as a % of Average |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
609,000 | 65 | 56-97 | 52 | 12/85 | 65 |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
760,000 | 58 | 47-102 | 41 | 13/85 | 58 |
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 1995 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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