Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2003
Table 5b - Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2003 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2003 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2003 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
573,000* | 63 | 54-97 | 50 | 11/85 | 111** | 65/85 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
715,000* | 56 | 45-102 | 39 | 12/85 | 95** | 55/85 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2003 forecast minus the recorded volume to date Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically ** Recorded 2003 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 1995 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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