Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2004
Table 2b - Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2004 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2004 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Reasonable Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2004 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
22,900* | 47 | 32-88 | 21 | 19/72** | 115*** | 41/72** | |
Milk River at Milk River |
36,900* | 44 | 30-83 | 20 | 19/91 | 66*** | 33/91 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
41,300* | 44 | 29-87 | 17 | 21/91 | 84*** | 37/91 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2004 forecast minus the recorded volume to date Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically ** Western Crossing data is from 1931-2001 *** Recorded 2004 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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