Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2008

March 2008 Precipitation

Most of the province south of Slave Lake, recorded much below normal precipitation, with the exceptions of the Cypress Hills south of Medicine Hat and Lloydminster, which recorded above normal precipitation. North of Slave Lake, precipitation in Alberta was generally below normal to normal, except below to much below normal in the Fort Chipewyan area, and above to much above normal in Peace River and the Fort McMurray and High Level areas (Figure 1). March precipitation totals are illustrated in Figure 2.
 


Winter Precipitation (November 1, 2007 to March 31, 2008)

Southern plains areas of the province recorded much below precipitation, except for the Cypress Hills area south of Medicine Hat, which recorded above normal precipitation. Central plains areas recorded below to much below normal precipitation, except for Cold Lake and Lloydminster, which recorded above normal and normal precipitation, respectively. Northern plains areas recorded below normal to normal precipitation, except for the Fort Chipewyan area, which recorded much below normal precipitation. Mountain and foothill areas south of Banff recorded precipitation ranging from below normal to above normal precipitation while mountain and foothill areas from Banff to Jasper to Grande Cache recorded generally below to much below normal precipitation (Figure 3). Winter precipitation totals are illustrated in Figure 4.


 

Fall Precipitation (September 1 to October 31, 2007)

Below to much below normal precipitation was recorded in most of the province (Figure 5). Above to much above normal precipitation was recorded in many mountain and foothill locations of the Banff-Pincher Creek area, in the Milk River-Cypress Hills area, and in the far north of the province that includes areas north of High Level and the Fort Chipewyan area. Some areas of the Upper Smoky and Athabasca River basins recorded normal to above normal precipitation. Fall precipitation totals are illustrated in Figure 6.
 

A map of soil moisture in the province as estimated by Alberta Agriculture can be seen here .
 

Long-Lead Precipitation Outlook

Environment Canada's long-lead forecast for Alberta issued on April 1, 2008 for the April through June 2008 period is for below normal precipitation in most of the southern half of the province and normal to above normal precipitation in the northern half. Temperatures for this period are forecast to be below normal for southern Alberta and the mountains and foothills and normal for the rest of the province. Canada's long-lead precipitation outlook is available from their website located at: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/index_e.html.


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) long-lead forecasts issued on March 20, 2008 for April through to the end of June 2008 is for equal chances of below normal, normal, or above normal temperatures and precipitation occuring in southern Alberta. Above normal temperatures and equal chances of below normal, normal, or above normal precipitation are forecasted for the July through September 2008 period for southern Alberta. The NOAA reported March 20, 2008 that moderate La Nina conditions are likely to continue throughout April, May and June 2008, followed by weaker La Nina conditions thereafter. NOAA's long-lead precipitation outlook is available from their website located at: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/.
 


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca