Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2009

Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2009 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2009 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Average 		Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March 2009 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Lake Abraham Inflow 1,915,000* 90 85-100 81 9/32** 89**** 15/30
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 1,146,000* 82 67-100 63 12/41*** 41**** 1/41
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 4,869,000* 85 72-100 66 26/91 83**** 38/91

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2009 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

 
** Lake Abraham is compared to 30 years of data
*** Brazeau Reservoir is compared to 41 years of data

**** Recorded 2009 natural flows are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca