Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2010

Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2010 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2010
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2009 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 881,000 82 73-91 68 11/91 72
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 153,000 82 69-92 61 24/91 84
Spray River near Banff 316,000 86 73-99 68 24/91 84
Kananaskis River 364,000 89 83-100 73 29/91 83
Bow River at Calgary 1,975,000 81 72-94 65 18/91 80
Elbow River 178,000 82 67-94 58 35/91 86
Highwood River 451,000 72 51-101 46 29/91 67


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca