Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2013
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2013 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2013 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2012 Volume as a % of Average |
Bow River at Banff | 1,038,000 | 103 | 99-108 | 96 | 45/99 | 135 |
Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 170,000 | 96 | 86-111 | 76 | 38/99 | 168 |
Spray River near Banff | 383,000 | 106 | 99-114 | 93 | 56/99 | 114 |
Kananaskis River | 388,000 | 101 | 92-113 | 84 | 43/99 | 125 |
Bow River at Calgary | 2,374,000 | 103 | 98-108 | 93 | 48/99 | 135 |
Elbow River | 191,000 | 94 | 82-117 | 71 | 43/99 | 125 |
Highwood River | 492,000 | 89 | 72-89 | 57 | 37/99 | 130 |
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca