Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2013

Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2013 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2013
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2012 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,038,000 103 99-108 96 45/99 135
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 170,000 96 86-111 76 38/99 168
Spray River near Banff 383,000 106 99-114 93 56/99 114
Kananaskis River 388,000 101 92-113 84 43/99 125
Bow River at Calgary 2,374,000 103 98-108 93 48/99 135
Elbow River 191,000 94 82-117 71 43/99 125
Highwood River 492,000 89 72-89 57 37/99 130


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca