Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2015
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2015 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2015 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2015 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
667,000* | 79 | 62-99 | 47 | 27/99 | 146** | 91/99 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
877,000* | 73 | 53-94 | 34 | 31/99 | 174** | 91/99 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2015 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2015 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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