Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2016
| Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2016 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average |
| Bow River at Banff | 934,000 | 93 | 90-95 | 87 | 24/99 | 89 |
| Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 154,000 | 87 | 78-96 | 70 | 27/99 | 70 |
| Spray River near Banff | 365,000 | 101 | 95-108 | 89 | 47/99 | 68 |
| Kananaskis River | 384,000 | 100 | 94-107 | 88 | 41/99 | 80 |
| Bow River at Calgary | 2,198,000 | 95 | 90-100 | 86 | 32/99 | 81 |
| Elbow River | 184,000 | 91 | 84-97 | 79 | 39/99 | 83 |
| Highwood River | 428,000 | 77 | 64-91 | 52 | 30/99 | 73 |
|
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca
