Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2017
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2017 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017 | ||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median | Probable Range as a % of Median | Potential Minimum as % of Median | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) |
Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Median |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
84,000 | 209 | 193-226 | 178 | 70/98 | 26* |
Milk River at Milk River |
110,400 | 161 | 143-198 | 127 | 60/98 | 30* |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
120,200 | 120 | 104-136 | 90 | 48/98 | 32* |
* based on a combination of International Joint Commission and Alberta Environment and Parks naturalization methods
Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1980 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given and a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca