Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2017
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2017 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2017 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Potential Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2017 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
47,200* | 145 | 125-166 | 106 | 44/98 | 858** | 96/98 | |
Milk River at Milk River |
72,400* | 136 | 113-184 | 92 | 45/98 | 450** | 91/98 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
84,100* | 134 | 108-159 | 85 | 48/98 | 254** | 79/98 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2017 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2017 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1981 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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