Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
August 2002
Table 3b - Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2002 - Oldman River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-July 2002 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
St. Mary River | 137,000** | 136 | 102-179 | 87 | 71/84 | 157*** | 81/84 | |
Belly River | 46,400* | 128 | 101-165 | 70 | 71/84 | 162*** | 84/84 | |
Waterton River | 91,000* | 132 | 92-171 | 70 | 71/84 | 150*** | 80/84 | |
Oldman River near Brocket | 138,000* | 125 | 89-168 | 76 | 67/84 | 150*** | 76/84 | |
Oldman River at Lethbridge | 427,000* | 127 | 89-172 | 73 | 68/84 | 153*** | 79/84 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2002 forecast minus the recorded volume to date Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically ** - This value is the natural volume and includes the U.S. share NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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