Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
August 2004
| Table 5b - Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2004 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30, 2004 | Year to date | |||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-July 2004 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
|
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
190,000* | 80 | 63-90 | 48 | 36/91 | 75** | 26/91 | |
|
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
240,000* | 82 | 49-113 | 41 | 47/91 | 62** | 22/91 | |
|
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2004 forecast minus the recorded volume to date
** Recorded 2004 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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