Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2010

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2010 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2010
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2009 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 753,000 70 68-74 68 2/91 72
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 155,000 83 81-87 79 26/91 84
Spray River near Banff 266,000 73 70-74 68 7/91 84
Kananaskis River 310,000 76 74-78 72 11/91 83
Bow River at Calgary 1,794,000 75 73-78 71 10/91 80
Elbow River 178,000 81 79-84 78 35/91 86
Highwood River 448,000 72 70-76 69 35/91 67


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca