Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2011

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2011 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2011
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2010 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,071,000 100 98-101 97 45/91 69
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 260,000 139 135-146 132 85/91 89
Spray River near Banff 304,000 83 82-84 79 15/91 73
Kananaskis River 428,000 105 102-107 100 53/91 75
Bow River at Calgary 2,499,000 115 112-116 110 54/91 77
Elbow River 297,000 136 128-138 126 79/91 88
Highwood River 1,005,000 160 149-173 146 83/91 79


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca