Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2012

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2012 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2012
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2011 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,407,000 131 129-137 128 90/91 95
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 306,000 164 159-174 155 91/91 133
Spray River near Banff 482,000 131 129-133 127 88/91 N/A
Kananaskis River 500,000 122 119-124 117 78/91 97
Bow River at Calgary 3,263,000 82 80-87 77 85/91 113
Elbow River 242,000 111 109-113 105 61/91 128
Highwood River 756,000 120 118-124 117 65/91 146


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca