Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2012

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2012 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2012
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2011 Volume as a % of Average
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
1,095,000 117 111-122 110 67/91 135
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
1,277,000 98 97-101 95 53/91 153


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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