Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
August 2014
Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2014 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30, 2014 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Potential Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-July 2014 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
2,400* | 167 | 109-269 | 56 | 51/98 | 213** | 83/98 | |
Milk River at Milk River |
7,500* | 151 | 111-207 | 74 | 59/98 | 167** | 64/98 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
9,500* | 139 | 89-188 | 44 | 70/98 | 172** | 72/98 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1981 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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