Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2014 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30, 2014 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-July 2014 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam 		243,000* 106 87-125 70 68/99 146** 84/99
Red Deer River
at Red Deer 		295,000* 104 80-128 59 75/99 164** 88/99

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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