Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
August 2015
Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2015 - North Saskatchewan River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30, 2015 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-July 2015 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Lake Abraham Inflow | 632,000* | 87 | 78-95 | 70 | 25/100 | 106** | 57/100 | |
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow | 344,000* | 83 | 64-108 | 46 | 22/100 | 64** | 10/100 | |
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton | 1,352,000* | 86 | 77-95 | 68 | 22/100 | 79** | 17/100 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2015 forecast minus the recorded volume to date   Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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