Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2017

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2017 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,212,000 120 118-122 116 80/99 88
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 194,000 109 102-113 103 55/99 74
Spray River near Banff 357,000 99 96-102 93 42/99 78
Kananaskis River 382,000 100 97-103 95 40/99 81
Bow River at Calgary 2,501,000 108 107-110 106 59/99 80
Elbow River 173,000 86 83-91 81 33/99 72
Highwood River 478,000 86 80-92 75 35/99 55


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca