Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
February 2004
| Table 5 - Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2004 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2004 | ||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2003 Volume as a % of Average |
|
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
807,000 | 86 | 70-120 | 61 | 38/91 | 98 |
|
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
1,113,000 | 85 | 58-129 | 52 | 40/91 | 98 |
|
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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