Plains Runoff Outlook

As of February 1, 2006, spring snowmelt runoff is forecast to be much below average for Alberta's plains (Figure 1). Much below average snowpack is estimated for most of the province (Figure 2).

Routine snow surveys to monitor snowpack on the plains begin in late February. Since it is still early in the runoff forecasting season, further weather conditions leading up to spring could also change this forecast considerably. This forecast assumes a typical spring melt occurs; a late spring could mean higher runoff. Check the Forecaster's Comments on the department website throughout the month for the most current conditions.