Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
February 2006
Table 7 - Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2006 - North Saskatchewan River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2006 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Reasonable Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Actual March-September 2005 Volume as a % of Average |
Lake Abraham Inflow | 2,026,000 | 94 | 90-107 | 85 | 10/30* | 102 |
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow | 1,219,000 | 85 | 74-122 | 64 | 15/41** | 134 |
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton | 4,944,000 | 84 | 74-104 | 69 | 26/91 | 123 |
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically |
* Lake Abraham is compared to 30 years of data Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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