Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2007

Table 4 - Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2007 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2007
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Reasonable Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2006 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,094,000 102 93-121 80 52/91 84
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 201,000 108 85-131 73 58/91 77
Spray River near Banff 373,000 102 91-122 80 48/91 98
Kananaskis River 415,000 101 87-125 76 49/91 88
Bow River at Calgary 2,487,000 102 86-123 75 53/91 83
Elbow River 199,000 91 73-128 59 45/91 80
Highwood River 588,000 94 71-131 54 47/91 71
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically

 

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


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