Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2015

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2015 - Oldman River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2015
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2014 Volume as a % of Average
St. Mary River 586,000* 87 72-102 59 23/99 146
Belly River 218,000 94 84-108 74 32/99 129
Waterton River 460,000 84 72-100 62 22/99 137
Oldman River near Brocket 859,000 87 75-99 65 29/99 155
Oldman River at Lethbridge 2,358,000 84 71-96 59 28/99 147

 

* - This value is the natural volume and includes the U.S. share

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca