Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2016

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2016 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Actual March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average
Lake Abraham Inflow 2,074,000 96 97-100 87 30/100 105
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 1,346,000 87 76-98 67 27/100 65
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 4,970,000 90 81-100 72 29/100 81


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2010

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca