Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2016

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2016 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam 		839,000 95 82-109 69 49/99 61
Red Deer River
at Red Deer 		1,121,000 89 69-110 51 45/99 54

 

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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