Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2017

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2017 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average
Lake Abraham Inflow 1,834,000 84 80-89 76 10/100 97
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 1,205,000 78 67-89 58 16/100 69
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 4,434,000 81 71-90 62 14/100 101

 

 
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2010

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


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