Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2017

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2017 - Oldman River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average
St. Mary River 582,000* 87 77-102 69 22/99 84
Belly River 206,000 89 80-101 73 24/99 88
Waterton River 483,000 88 76-104 66 24/99 90
Oldman River near Brocket 805,000 82 70-94 59 26/99 66
Oldman River at Lethbridge 2,235,000 79 66-92 55 25/99 66

 

* - This value is the natural volume and includes the U.S. share

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca