Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2018

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2018 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2018
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2017 Volume as a % of Average
Lake Abraham Inflow 2,448,000 113 108-118 104 75/100 112
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 1,581,000 102 92-113 82 53/100 81
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 5,838,000 106 96-116 88 57/100 111


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2010

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca