Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
January 2006
Table 1 - Water Supply Forecast as of January 1, 2006 - Milk River Basin(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2006 | ||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median | Probable Range as a % of Median | Reasonable Minimum as % of Median | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) |
Recorded March-September 2005 Volume as a % of Median |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
49,300 | 91 | 43-139 | 26 | 28/70* | 53 |
Milk River at Milk River |
81,700 | 86 | 41-132 | 25 | 37/91 | 63 |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
102,600 | 89 | 42-137 | 25 | 37/91 | 67 |
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically |
* Western Crossing data is from 1931-2001 Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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