Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

July 2006

Table 5a - Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2006 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2006
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Reasonable Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2005 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,002,000 94 88-101 84 31/91 90
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 167,000 89 84-105 81 33/91 129
Spray River near Banff 414,000 113 108-125 103 68/91 107
Kananaskis River 408,000 100 93-115 87 47/91 113
Bow River at Calgary 2,375,000 98 88-109 82 43/91 111
Elbow River 187,000 86 80-99 77 38/91 143
Highwood River 475,000 76 70-89 67 32/91 197

Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically

Click here to see the table containing the remaining forecast for the season along with the recorded volume to date

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca