Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

July 2009

Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2009 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2009
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2008 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 876,000 82 76-88 67 10/91 85
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 156,000 84 78-94 71 27/91 125
Spray River near Banff 297,000 81 75-91 73 14/91 107
Kananaskis River 299,000 73 71-83 66 13/91 107
Bow River at Calgary 1,859,000 76 71-86 65 10/91 105
Elbow River 162,000 75 71-82 67 37/91 139
Highwood River 384,000 61 58-72 56 17/91 128


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca