Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

July 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2014 - Milk River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for July 1 to September 30, 2014 Year to date
Locations Volume
in dam3 		Volume as a
% of Median 		Probable Range as a % of Median Potential Minimum as
% of Median 		Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-June 2014 Volume as a % of Median Ranking (lowest to highest)
Milk River at
Western Crossing 		6,200* 139 94-245 53 51/98 196** 72/98
Milk River
at Milk River 		14,300* 140 112-212 87 58/98 156** 59/98
Milk River at
Eastern Crossing 		18,800* 130 99-102 71 68/98 184** 73/98

* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date


** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change

Median is calculated for period 1981 to 2008

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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