Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
July 2014
Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2014 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for July 1 to September 30, 2014 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-June 2014 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
416,000* | 96 | 80-120 | 65 | 58/99 | 176** | 95/99 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
517,000* | 93 | 77-109 | 62 | 60/99 | 191** | 89/99 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2009 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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