Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
July 2016
| Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2016 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average |
| Bow River at Banff | 889,000 | 88 | 84-92 | 81 | 13/99 | 89 |
| Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 121,000 | 68 | 63-76 | 58 | 7/99 | 70 |
| Spray River near Banff | 301,000 | 84 | 80-87 | 77 | 15/99 | 68 |
| Kananaskis River | 320,000 | 84 | 80-89 | 77 | 14/99 | 80 |
| Bow River at Calgary | 1,958,000 | 85 | 82-87 | 80 | 18/99 | 81 |
| Elbow River | 132,000 | 65 | 61-76 | 56 | 11/99 | 83 |
| Highwood River | 268,000 | 48 | 40-60 | 33 | 7/99 | 73 |
|
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca
