Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
June 2016
Water Supply Forecast as of June 1, 2016 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for June 1 to September 30, 2016 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-May 2016 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
482,000* | 74 | 64-84 | 55 | 24/99 | 64** | 10/99 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
573,000* | 66 | 51-82 | 37 | 26/99 | 45** | 7/99 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2016 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2016 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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