Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2011

Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2011 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2011
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2010 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,119,000 104 98-121 81 58/91 69
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 189,000 101 84-115 74 50/91 89
Spray River near Banff 373,000 102 91-116 78 48/91 73
Kananaskis River 412,000 101 86-118 74 49/91 75
Bow River at Calgary 2,431,000 100 90-118 75 49/91 77
Elbow River 194,000 89 81-101 66 43/91 88
Highwood River 573,000 92 63-107 55 43/91 79


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca