Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
March 2016
Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2016 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average |
Bow River at Banff | 964,000 | 96 | 87-101 | 87 | 31/99 | 89 |
Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 162,000 | 91 | 80-106 | 69 | 34/99 | 70 |
Spray River near Banff | 363,000 | 101 | 94-107 | 89 | 45/99 | 68 |
Kananaskis River | 375,000 | 98 | 90-106 | 83 | 37/99 | 80 |
Bow River at Calgary | 2,244,000 | 97 | 92-102 | 88 | 34/99 | 81 |
Elbow River | 190,000 | 94 | 88-100 | 83 | 42/99 | 83 |
Highwood River | 445,000 | 80 | 67-93 | 56 | 31/99 | 73 |
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca