Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2018

Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2018 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2018
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Average 		Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2017 Volume as a % of Average
Lake Abraham Inflow 2,380,000 110 105-114 101 68/100 112
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 1,423,000 92 82-102 72 38/100 81
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 5,420,000 99 90-107 83 45/100 111

 

 
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2010

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca