Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2018

Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2018 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2018
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2017 Volume as a % of Average
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
779,000 88 78-98 69 37/99 83
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
1,037,000 83 63-103 45 39/99 106


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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