Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2004
Table 4a - Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2004 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2004 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Reasonable Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2003 Volume as a % of Average |
Bow River at Banff | 942,000 | 88 | 80-101 | 74 | 22/91 | 84 |
Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 154,000 | 83 | 72-110 | 67 | 25/91 | 93 |
Spray River near Banff | 308,000 | 84 | 73-101 | 71 | 18/91 | 84 |
Kananaskis River | 342,000 | 84 | 71-106 | 68 | 20/91 | 80 |
Bow River at Calgary | 2,085,000 | 86 | 70-100 | 66 | 23/91 | 81 |
Elbow River | 169,000 | 77 | 61-99 | 55 | 29/91 | 74 |
Highwood River | 452,000 | 72 | 47-100 | 44 | 30/91 | 72 |
Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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