Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2006

Table 3a - Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2006 - Milk River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2006
Locations Volume
in dam3
Volume as a % of Median Probable Range as a % of Median Reasonable Minimum as % of Median Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2005
Volume as a
% of Median
Milk River at
Western Crossing
49,000 90 75-102 66 28/70* 53
Milk River
at Milk River
76,300 80 68-91 60 35/91 60
Milk River at
Eastern Crossing
93,500 81 67-92 59 33/91 67

Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically
 
Click here to see the table containing the remaining forecast for the season along with the recorded volume to date
 

* Western Crossing data is from 1931-2001

Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca