Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2007

Red Deer River Basin - Water Supply Forecasts

As of May 1, 2007, natural runoff volumes for the March to September 2007 period are forecast to be above average into Dickson Dam and for Red Deer, at 118 and 117% of average, respectively (Table 6a). These forecasts have increased by 5 and 7% since the April 1 forecasts. The current forecasted volume at Red Deer would rank 65th lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).

The first two months of the forecast period have been completed, with March-April 2007 recorded runoff volumes were 216% of average into the Dickson Reservoir, which is second highest on record (91 years) for this period. At Red Deer, natural runoff volumes have been the 8th highest on record for the March - April period. Recorded volume data is preliminary, and is subject to change. The remaining volume forecast, which is the March to September 2007 forecast minus the recorded volume to date, is available in Table 6b. May to September 2007 natural runoff volumes are forecast to be above average at both locations.



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