Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2010
Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2010 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2010 | ||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median | Probable Range as a % of Median | Potential Minimum as % of Median | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) |
Recorded March-September 2009 Volume as a % of Median |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
37,800 | 70 | 58-78 | 37 | 24/70* | 61 |
Milk River at Milk River |
60,100 | 63 | 54-71 | 35 | 27/91 | 46 |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
78,200 | 68 | 58-75 | 40 | 29/91 | 42 |
* Western Crossing data is from 1931-2001 Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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