Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2012

Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2012 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2012
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2011 Volume as a % of Average
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam 		990,000 106 93-118 80 58/91 135
Red Deer River
at Red Deer 		1,239,000 95 81-111 61 51/91 153

 

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

 
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

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