Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2012
Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2012 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for May 1 to September 30, 2012 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-April 2012 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
877,000* | 105 | 92-119 | 77 | 61/91 | 108** | 62/91 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
1,032,000* | 94 | 79-113 | 54 | 52/91 | 100** | 57/91 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2012 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2012 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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